As the United States established its post Cold War supremacy in the skies, a new type of war order was established, that of “effects based warfare.” EBO is the simultaneous application and projection of power, flexibly executed at all levels of command, designed to force the enemy to comply with our will.
Airpower –from stealth technology, to UAVs, to precision guides munitions– has allowed us to redefine the war principle of mass, striking more targets with more effeciency and fewer forces. That pinpoint application of airpower also makes Parallel Warfare possible.
And Parallel Warfare is precisely what Israel is employing today. Examine their initial, pre-ground assault actions. Israeli air units swept out and targeted enemy systems and centers of gravity rather than troops. The IAF hit nodes of communication, transportation, leadership, and industries, executing a parallel attack against each enemy target system, climbing down the ladder from strategic targets, to operational targets, and finally to tactical targets.
Israel is now largely in the tactical targeting phase of their effects based operation, although strategic and operational missions still continue. We witnessed the strategic ops phase as Israel blockaded the Lebanon coast, bombed the airport and roads, and struck at Hezbollah leadership. We witnessed the operational phase as Israel shifted focus towards Hezbollah gun and rocket emplacements (enemy units in enemyheld territory). And now we are seeing Israel’s use of ground forces in the tactical — the “bug hunt”– phase of their plan, as the IDF roots out enemy fighters from the battlespace.
As stated earlier, objectives still exists at the tactical, strategic, and operational levels of warfare, and thus fighting will continue for at least another 10-14 days.
For all of the effort Israel is expending there does not seem to be a major pay off on the ground. There are few reports of large numbers of enemy fighters killed, meanwhile it seemed the IDF was hung up for several days fighting a company sized force that was defending a border town.
I expected quite a bit more from the IDF.
Of course, they could simply be keeping the positive info under wraps, but that would not make much sense from a public relations standpoint.
Hope you’re right,but my impression is Israel is a DISASTER for the entire west as they have given the Muslims a rebirth of delusional thought they had learned from the Red Army defeat.
We had slowly but surely hammered the idiots and Israel has allowed them to at least be reasonably SEEN by Muslims as hanging tough.
MidEast War: 61
July 31, 2006 12:00 PDT Frequent updates. Scroll. Previous coverage @ right. Links to Lebanese and Israeli bloggers covering the conflict are @ Truth Laid Bear, plus a map view of bloggers in war zone. Map of war zone here….
IDF claims to have the names of 200 Hezbullah guys they’ve killed. That’s not an insignificant amount of manpower for Hezbullah if Israel isn’t puffing its numbers. The key thing is degraded capabilities though. The number of rockets falling on Haifa is falling, and I don’t think that’s because Hezbullah is running out. Israel would appear to have been successful to a degree in pushing Hezbullah’s operational area north of the Litani, which is a significant strategic objective.
The only thing Israel has lost so far is the media war. And the primary importance of that is whether the media war can stop the actual war.
As long as the media war cannot impose a ceasefire, this war is very much open to an Israeli victory.
The interview of Walid Jumblatt in Opinion Journal online Saturday did raise an interesting question: Is it possible to end the war if Lebanon is unable to control its border with Syria. Jumblatt thinks not.
The media can stop a war. Just look it up under Vietnam.
The media COULD stop a war, when it had a monopoly on information. Those days are long gone, even for the US media. Israel is in a different position, it has to win or it will be history. Nothing the media says/does will change that.
I suspect the one thing the Israeli high command fears is that Iran will panic and order the kidnapped soldiers returned. Hence all the talk early on of a prisoner exchange and ceasefire. The idea was to give the islamists hope that they only have to hang on a little while and they’d be rewarded with a huge propaganda victory.
It’s nonsense, there will be no ceasefire and no prisoner exchange. Everything to this point has been classic battle space preparation, bombing supply roads, communications and fixing the enemy in position. It was all indicating a the immanence of a large ground invasion and, sure enough, now one’s about to begin.
Israel and the US are determined to smash Hizb’allah, that’s what’s going to happen one way or another.
Hmm. Maybe someone can point out where I’m wrong if I’m wrong in my analysis
Win for Israel:
1) Complete destruction of Hezbollah.
or
2) Lebanese start retaliating against Hezbollah on an individual basis – sort of like NIMBYs with RPGs.
3) Return of at least one kidnapped soldier – alive.
Win for Hezbollah:
1) Israel does not accomplish any of those tasks.
2) Israel keeps troops on ground in Lebanon for longer than a few weeks.
Draw: International force creates buffer zone and patrols it with extreme prejudice.
Escalation Wildcard:
WMD used anywhere in the theatre, fingers pointed left right and center. Conspiracy theorists won’t believe it was Hezbollah, and reasonable theory will point 75% probability of Iranian supplied WMD, and 15% Syrian probability (maybe old Iraqi stuff stashed), and 10% just plain homegrown.
Jetman, let’s hope that wildcard is buried really, really good, in that nasty deck of cards.
This war started in Tehran, and won’t end until Tehran is taken out. This is 1938 redux, with nobody having the stones to end it. We’re going to pay a heavy price for our inaction.
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